Satish Jha, who started his career with Financial Express and Jansatta and was an editor at Dinmaan, is currently living in America. He has seen America closely for almost four decades. When asked to know the reaction of the American people on the Iran-US war, he said, victory-defeat is a middle-class viewpoint. America just wins. The rest of the countries win or lose! This statement of his fits perfectly with America.
Trump’s America is so self-absorbed that it is now above victory and defeat. He is running the entire world. Even though Iran has been facing his attacks for three and a half months and has been troubled many times by becoming a victim of Trump’s irritation. But he also stood firm. Because Iran itself had to bear the loss of the war. Its total GDP is 270 billion dollars and it had to suffer the same loss in this war.
prestige is more important than victory or defeat
What happened to America? He suffered very little economic and strategic loss. 14 of its people were killed while 1500 of Iran’s. Iran’s economic growth came into minus. Its growth has fallen by 6.1 percent. On the contrary, nothing happened to America. What happens if you come to your senses after losing so much? But victory and defeat are never seen from this perspective. This is a middle class viewpoint. Under which we just count how much money was lost and how many people were lost.
But the victorious country loses one more thing from the war and that is its prestige. America has lost its prestige. Have committed moral degradation. Just like when Joe Biden packed his bags from Afghanistan after years of war. But there is no doubt that America did not suffer any economic loss even after the 40-day war.
How long will American dominance last?
According to Dr. Mahendra Singh, a scientist in Boston, victory and defeat in war cannot be assessed only by the loss of money. America definitely did not suffer any loss in this war. But saying this is in a way turning away from the truth. America’s reputation has been hurt. If this continues to happen again and again, America’s dominance will end in the future.
Any powerful country in the world continues to hold its ground. Before the Second World War, Japan was dominant in Asia and England was dominant in Europe. But even after being destroyed in that world war, Japan was not finished and despite winning, England lost its supremacy. In 1945, England got victory along with the Allies but its supremacy ended. He was even forced to leave India, which was then the jewel in his crown. And the world got two superpowers, America and the Soviet Union.
Anger on Arab countries from both sides
Today Iran has definitely lost. He has got a deep injury. But he has established himself. All Muslim countries can forget mutual differences and come together in future. And then sooner or later America will have to remove its hegemony from the Arab countries. The reason for this will be America’s President Donald Trump. Currently, Iran says that America should compensate for the loss it suffered in this war.
America has entrusted this task to the Arab countries to withdraw money from their coffers and give it to Iran. This is strange bullying! The poor people also faced Iran’s attack and now give money also. Whereas he had no role in this war. Except that America had built its military bases in Arab countries. These countries will feel that when they have to face the wrath of Iran and America too, it is better to be friends with Iran.
Gift on Trumpeshwar’s birthday!
But on the other hand, Nitin Tripathi, who has been doing business in America for years, says, this is Trump’s victory and America’s defeat. There is nothing in this deal that America did not have before. The Strait of Hormuz had just opened. Their only issue was nuclear stop. There is no mention of this in the deal, only that this issue will be discussed. But this is a personal victory for Trump.
Trump is the first leader in American history whose loyalists constitute 30 percent of his votes. So they are spinning the deal in such a way that America got a great deal on Trumpeshwar’s birthday. The Republican Party was facing a massive defeat in the mid-elections. Now the momentum will reverse. Trump’s opponents are Congress type peace lovers. The deal will chill their hearts, while Trump supporters will prove on social media that it was an American victory.
Happiness of 250th Independence Day
Charan Singh, a distinguished businessman from New Jersey and very active among Indian immigrants, says that with the end of the war, the prices of petroleum products in the USA will fall. The stock market will also increase. Inflation will stop within the next 4 to 6 weeks. This happiness is going to be achieved when after the final announcement of this agreement, America will be celebrating the 250th anniversary of ‘Independence Day’ on 4th July.
It would be a good thing for the Trump administration that it would not be at war on this historic occasion! This is also a good sign for the world and will prove to be a relief from energy crisis and war. India will also get a lot of relief. If the MOU is implemented and a better deal is reached, it will also prove the deal making power of Donald Trump.
partial success
According to Charan Singh, however, from America’s point of view this agreement can only be considered a partial success. If this agreement immediately stops the conflict and international navigation through the Strait of Hormuz remains safe and smooth, then it will definitely be a success for the Trump administration. He said, “This will lead to a wider regional war and the common American will also be happy if Iran is brought back into the process of diplomatic talks.”
Trump’s supporters believe that opening the door to future nuclear negotiations while avoiding a protracted and costly military conflict is a practical achievement! Critics of the Trump administration may question whether the deal will adequately limit Iran’s long-term capabilities. And have some concessions been made without adequate security assurances?
Regional partners’ perspective
The reaction of America’s regional allies may be mixed. Countries that prioritize regional stability and energy security will welcome reduced tensions and reduced risks of military conflict. At the same time, some countries will be cautious about whether effective control has actually been established over Iran’s regional activities and nuclear ambitions.
For them, this agreement will be evaluated more by its actual implementation in the coming months and years than by its signing. Globally, this agreement will be generally viewed as positive, as it reduces the likelihood of major conflict in a vitally important region of the world, makes energy supplies more stable and reduces uncertainty in international markets.
advice to avoid conflict
Most countries prefer diplomatic solutions rather than military confrontation, especially when global trade and energy security are at stake. Although the closure of the Strait of Hormuz shook the entire world economy. While Central and West Asian countries became the target of attack, South and East Asia were affected due to stoppage of oil supply. President Donald Trump got the benefit of this war.
He asserted his dominance among the Americans. But now it is digital. The final signing of this agreement will take place in Geneva on Friday 19 June. And there are still many ifs and buts. Israel’s consent was not taken, while Lebanon was left helpless. So is this deal a collusion between dictator Trump and regional dictator Iran?
stake of strait of hormuz
There is no doubt that by closing the Strait of Hormuz, Iran played such a trick that Trump became alone even among his friends. Due to this the whole world was shocked. On April 8, on his own initiative, Trump had declared a ceasefire for 2 weeks. On completion of its period, it was extended indefinitely. Now ceasefire was announced on 16th June.
But the issue of toll on the Strait of Hormuz is stuck. Arab countries will help Iran with 300 billion dollars. And the restricted property that Iran got was its own. Which was during the time of Shah Reza Pahlavi government. But due to change of regime, America had banned it. Then what did Iran get?
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