Tehran has given a big blow to diplomacy, throwing aside the agreements made on paper, Iran has directly started implementing the ‘mini war plan’. Iran’s clear message is that if its oil remains trapped in the sea, the entire world economy will be drowned in the sea. Do these statements of Iran seem to indicate the beginning of a new war in the Gulf?
Agreements on paper are complicated, gunpowder is burning in the sea. The war strategy of NATO and Pentagon has already failed, the strategy of diplomacy has also failed. Now Trump’s insistence on expansionism has opened the way for the biggest storm for the entire Arab region. Iran has indicated that if America does not lift the blockade, it will impose blockade on five different fronts. That means the Persian Gulf, Hormuz Strait, Gulf of Oman, Bab al-Mandeb Strait and Gulf of Aden will all be blocked. That means Iran can close every oil route from Arabia to the world.
67 million barrels of oil stuck, Iran’s panic increases
Iran is deeply troubled by long sanctions and economic pressure. Due to the American blockade, about 67 million barrels of Iran’s oil is stuck in the Gulf of Oman. Production is going on continuously in the refinery, but the storage capacity is running out. Iran has already spilled some oil into the sea. Some shipping companies are crossing Hormuz by paying toll, but the Americans are stopping them. Due to this, Iran’s anger is at its peak. According to experts, Iran now has only three ways left.
- Surrender to America
- break the american blockade
- To exert pressure by attacking Arab countries
Leaving aside the first option, the remaining two options mean a fierce war.
Only Iran and Oman have authority over Hormuz
Iran has also introduced a new diplomatic formula, in which only Iran and Oman can decide the future of Hormuz. There will be no mediation by any third country. Geographically, the shallow part of the Strait of Hormuz through which ships pass, the 3-3 km shipping lane and the 3 km buffer zone falls entirely within the maritime boundaries of Iran and Oman. Iran is already in occupation here and now wants complete control along with Oman. If this does not happen, then Iran is ready for a major disaster.
Trump is playing a double game
US President Trump is playing a double game. On one hand, the pretense of talks, on the other hand, preparations to increase the mini war model. The blockade has been tightened and military deployment is being increased. But Iran has now understood this deceitful war. It has intensified missile production. Iran’s Mission 300 can start any time. Under this plan, Iran can destroy a country in a minute. The range and attack time of the missiles are as follows.
| Country | distance from tehran | Missile arrival time |
| Kuwait | 770 km | 1.5 – 2 minutes |
| bahrain | 1050 km | 2.5 – 3 minutes |
| Queue | 1150 km | 2.5 – 3 minutes |
| UAE | 1200 km | 3 – 3.5 minutes |
| saudi arabia | 1300 km | 3.5 – 4 minutes |
| israel | 1600 km | 4 – 5 minutes |
Iran has weapons like Khorramshahr (range 2000+ km), Sejil (1800 km) and Teh hypersonic missiles, which can dodge any air defense.
What is the further scenario?
According to experts, if Gulf countries are attacked, they will panic and put pressure on Trump. Then Trump may be forced to sign a permanent armistice with Iran. But right now this is only Iran’s plan, Trump’s plan is yet to come.
-Bureau Report, TV9 Bharatvarsh
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