There has been a break in the talks between America and Iran starting in Switzerland. Although the leaders playing the role of mediator along with the representatives of America and Iran have also participated in this meeting, but before the start of these talks, Trump and Iran have not changed their tough stance. While Trump adopted pressure tactics, Iran adopted diplomacy to provoke Trump. Meanwhile, according to Tasnim News Agency, Iran delegation walked out of Switzerland Peace Talk after Trump’s threats. The Iranian delegation made it clear that there would be no further talks without resolving the Lebanon issue.
Switzerland There is no peace in the valleys today, ice of suspense is accumulating. The world was thinking that the final seal of approval would be put on the papers ending the war between America and Iran in Switzerland, but the smoldering gunpowder in Lebanon has eclipsed these peace talks. Although talks will take place, there is still doubt as to whether it will be successful or not, and this doubt now seems to be turning into confidence.
Trump gives signal to activate bomber!
Is this a policy of pressure on the war front or a plan to force Iran on the negotiation table. It is difficult to make an exact estimate, because at present Trump’s envoys Kushal and Witkoff are in Switzerland. Iran’s negotiating team has also reached Switzerland. Mediators Pakistan and Qatar have also camped there, but the ultimatum of the two main parties has warmed the ground for peace.
Trump made it clear that a deal will have to be made within 60 days, otherwise he will take lethal steps, on the other hand, IRGC has also said that Hormuz will also remain closed until the attacks on Lebanon stop and these are not just threats, the proof of which is that America has deployed heavy bombers like B-1 and B-52 on British airbases, while the Iranian army has started using Hormuz as a weapon.
Read this also- Talk will be made in Switzerland! Will a permanent agreement be sealed in the Witkoff-Aragchi meeting?
Amidst doubts about the success or failure of the talks and the smoldering gunpowder in Lebanon, the table for peace talks is now ready in Switzerland. Both sides are facing each other for talks.
Suspense continues on peace table
The chief negotiator from the US side is Vice President JDMeanwhile, Trump’s envoys Jared Kushner and Steve Witkoff have taken the lead, while from Iran’s side, Foreign Minister Abbas Aragchi and Parliament Speaker Mohammad Kalibaf are also in Switzerland and the files that will be opened on this table between the mediators will decide the future of West Asia. A future which is difficult to predict, because on one hand Trump is adopting pressure tactics and on the other hand Iran has started the game of Good Cop-Bad Cop.
However, one positive aspect of this negotiation is that IAEA Director General Rafer Grossi is also participating in this deal from the UN side and one of the many negative aspects is that Iran is now sitting at the negotiating table looking America in the eyes, the proof of which is that Minab 168 is written on the plane by which the Iranian delegation reached Switzerland. This is a message of healing of the wounds of the attack which America carried out on Minab’s school, where 168 children were killed.
Will a deal be made between Trump and Iran?
That is, the signal is clear that Iran has not bowed down to anyone’s pressure, so has Iran prepared to derail the talks with its aggressive stance? The question is not just on the terms of the deal, but on the main point of the MoU and this is the point, there will be no deal until the attacks on Lebanon are stopped, but if the attacks on Lebanon are not stopped and the table for the deal is set, then is Iran ready to bow down? This is not so, because IRGC has made an announcement before the talks.
Until the attacks on Lebanon stop, the Strait of Hormuz will also remain closed. However, the government is silent on this issue. The agreement papers are also on the table to be sealed, which means that there is a situation of conflict within Iran itself, but why so?
Read this also- Trying to score a false victory, Iran rejected Trump’s claims on Hormuz Strait and nuclear.
Indications of internal conflict in Iran are seen from the different stances of IRGC and the government. IRGC has announced the closure of Hormuz, while the government is avoiding saying anything on Hormuz considering the platform of talks. Now the question is, why is there a conflict between the government and IRGC? The answer is that at present the IRGC i.e. the army remains a link between Supreme Leader Mujtaba Khamenei and the government.
This simply means that there is no direct communication between the Supreme Leader and the government. This is the reason why the government is making a deal with America on behalf of Mujtaba Khamenei and the government is giving the details of the deal to IRGC, that is, IRGC is also a party in the deal and it does not have direct communication with America, hence the agreement is still stuck.
Mujtaba’s game plan, the deal will not be easy!
On one side, the negotiation table is set, but the real game is going on under the table. Even though Hormuz has not been closed, but by announcing its closure, IRGC has shown that Iran has the neck of the world economy in its hands. Therefore, IRGC has tried to put pressure on Trump by threatening to close Hormuz, which has two objectives, firstly to get a ceasefire in Lebanon and secondly to get the frozen assets of Iran released, but the problem is that this objective is not so easy.
Read this also- Relief news for the whole world, agreement reached between America and Iran, crude oil prices fell to 80 dollars
As many are understood, because there are two factions in IRGC itself. One is a fundamentalist and the other is an order-following and fundamentalist faction that does not want this deal to happen, just like the American side, in which Netanyahu gave orders to stop the attacks on Lebanon, but added the condition that there will be no attacks in Lebanon but the army will remain, which could have been accepted, but the surprising thing is that the attacks have not stopped till now, hence Iran seems to be scattered into three factions.
Fighting between three factions in Iran
First is the moderate faction of negotiators for peace, the second faction is of the army but stands in favor of the government and the third faction is of fundamentalists who do not want the deal to happen, hence America’s attitude is also changing, in which JD Vance is moving forward to establish peace, according to whom America wants a proper agreement, in which direct talks are being started with Iran and the solution to all the issues will be found through talks.
On the other hand, Trump has kept Plan-B ready, but the question is why is Plan-B needed? Answer: IRGC’s strength increased during the war and understand how it increased.
Read this also- Preparation for war under the guise of agreement with Iran! What is Trump’s secret plan?
Actually, the part of the Strait of Hormuz is under the control of IRGC. IRGC is deployed in the 1000 kilometer line from Gaureh Port to Jask Port and IRGC is directly controlled by Mujtaba Khamenei. Therefore, there is no interference of the government in this area i.e. IRGC can take whatever decisions it wants in this area at present, but once the deal is sealed, the power of IRGC will automatically decrease.
Open Talk File Main Character Israel?
However, it will not take much time to resolve Iran’s internal issues. If a deal is made, it is possible that Trump may also put pressure on Israel, so the success and failure of this negotiation now depends on Israel. If the Israeli army withdraws from Lebanon then the deal will be finalized.
The strength of IRGC in Iran will also automatically decrease. The strength of the Iranian government will also increase automatically, but if Netanyahu does not agree, then there will be a question mark on the talks. Trump will also have to test his patience, but the fear is that Trump will not test his patience now, but will break the dam of his patience and take fatal steps. Therefore, it is possible that Iran will also show a positive attitude in these talks in Switzerland.
Bureau Report, TV 9 Bharatvarsha
Read this also- America-Iran war will end, Strait of Hormuz will open. What did Trump say on the deal?
Leave a Reply