Voting is to be held on June 18 for 24 Rajya Sabha seats from 10 states. The last day for nomination was Monday (June 8). The states where elections are held include Madhya Pradesh (3 seats), Rajasthan (3 seats), Jharkhand (2 seats), Gujarat (4 seats), Karnataka (4 seats), Andhra Pradesh (4 seats), Manipur, Meghalaya, Mizoram and 1 seat each from Arunachal Pradesh. Madhya Pradesh and Jharkhand are being discussed the most in this election, because here BJP has increased the problems of Congress. Let us know who is winning unopposed in which state and where the elections are stuck.
Victory of all four BJP candidates confirmed in Gujarat
All four BJP candidates filed their nomination papers for the Rajya Sabha elections from Gujarat on Monday. Due to Congress not contesting the elections, their victory seems certain. With the end of Shaktisinh Gohil’s tenure at the end of this month, there will be no Congress representative from Gujarat in the upper house of the Parliament. Four Rajya Sabha seats from Gujarat are falling vacant as the tenure of sitting MPs Rambhai Mokaria, Narhari Amin and Ramilaben Bara (all from BJP) and Shaktisinh Gohil of Congress is ending on June 21. Gohil is the only Congress member from Gujarat in the Rajya Sabha. BJP has made Rajubhai Shukla, Mansingh Parmar, Mukeshbhai Rathwa and Jitendra Kanjariya its candidates in this election.
Candidates winning unopposed in Manipur and Rajasthan also
In Manipur, BJP has given ticket to Adhikarimayum Sarada Devi. The path to his being elected unopposed is almost clear. The party has fielded Sarada Devi, the first woman president of BJP’s Manipur unit, for the lone Rajya Sabha seat from the state.
There are elections for 3 seats in Rajasthan. The victory of two BJP candidates is certain, while the way for one Congress candidate to be elected unopposed is clear. BJP has fielded Satish Poonia and Alka Gurjar. Whereas Congress has given ticket to Neeraj Dangi.
Interesting election in Madhya Pradesh
In this election, the maximum focus is on Madhya Pradesh and Jharkhand. There are elections for three seats in Madhya Pradesh. BJP has made the fight exciting by fielding a third candidate. BJP’s victory on two seats is certain. The contest is for the third seat. There is a contest between BJP’s Mahesh Kevat and Congress’s Meenakshi Natarajan.
third seat mathematics
- Effective MLAs in the Assembly: 228
- Votes required to win a Rajya Sabha seat: 58
- BJP MLA: 164
- Congress MLA: 64
- BAP MLA: 1
- Vijaypur MLA will not be able to vote
BJP’s mathematics…
- Votes required to win two seats: 116
- After spending 116 votes out of 164, BJP will be left with 48 votes.
- 58 votes are needed to win the third seat
- That means BJP will need additional 10 votes.
Congress’s mathematics…
- Effective votes of Congress: 63
- (The status of Bina MLA Nirmala Sapre is not clear)
- With BAP’s support the figure can reach 64.
- 6 votes more than the 58 votes required for victory
BJP’s third seat challenge
BJP has 48 votes of its own, but it needs 58 votes to win. This means that at least 10 additional votes will have to be arranged. For this, cross voting or additional support in the opposition camp can play a decisive role. This possibility has made the third seat of Rajya Sabha elections the most interesting.
Exciting fight in Jharkhand too
There are elections for two Rajya Sabha seats in Jharkhand. Candidates of Jharkhand Mukti Morcha and Congress are in the fray from the Grand Alliance. Congress has given ticket to Pranab Jha while JMM has fielded Baidhnath Ram. Independent candidate Parimal Nathwani has increased the tension of the ruling party. BJP is supporting Parimal Nathwani. BJP has 21 MLAs, 1 AJSU MLA and 1 LJP are supporting Ram Vilas and 1 JDU MLA Saryu Rai Nathwani.
A total of 24 MLAs are standing in favor of Nathwani, while the support of 28 MLAs is required to win. The 4 MLAs that Nathwani needs for victory can only be the MLAs of the ruling party Jharkhand Mukti Morcha or Congress. India Bloc needs the support of 56 MLAs to win two Rajya Sabha seats in Jharkhand. If even one of those votes goes back and forth, then the problem will increase. Parimal Nathwani has already been elected to Rajya Sabha from Jharkhand twice as an independent candidate. In both the earlier Rajya Sabha elections, Nathwani received the support of Jharkhand Mukti Morcha.
What is the situation in Andhra Pradesh and Karnataka?
There are elections for 4 seats in Andhra Pradesh. Three candidates from TDP and one from Jana Sena are in the fray in NDA. Currently, YSRCP has seven Rajya Sabha seats, while TDP has two seats. These figures are expected to change after the elections to be held on June 18.
TDP has 135 MLAs in the assembly. After that, Jana Sena has 21 MLAs and BJP has 8 MLAs, while YSRCP has 11 MLAs. TDP’s position is considered very strong in this election.
Like Andhra Pradesh, there are elections for 4 Rajya Sabha seats in Karnataka also. Here, Congress’s victory on three seats is considered certain, while the opposition may win one seat. Congress party has given tickets to Mallikarjun Kharge, Mansoor Ali Khan and Pawan Kheda in Karnataka. Whereas BJP has fielded M Nagaraj.
Know the situation of Arunachal-Mizoram and Meghalaya also
BJP has given ticket to former state president Tai Tagak in the elections to be held for a Rajya Sabha seat in Arunachal Pradesh. The ruling BJP has an overwhelming majority out of 60 seats in the Arunachal Pradesh Assembly, so it is expected that Tagak will win the elections.
Zoram People’s Movement (ZPM) in Mizoram, party spokesperson K. Laltaluangkima has been nominated for the only parliamentary seat.
In the current assembly, ZPM has 27 MLAs, giving them a decisive lead, while the main opposition party Mizo National Front (MNF) has 10 seats and BJP has two seats. From here, Laltaluangkima’s victory is considered certain.
There is an election for one seat in Meghalaya. National People’s Party (NPP) leader and former MLA James PK Sangma is in the fray. James PK Sangma is the candidate of Meghalaya Democratic Alliance (MDA). Sangma is certain to reach Rajya Sabha.
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