Till a few days ago, it seemed that talks between Iran and America could move towards a limited agreement or reducing tension. US President Donald Trump was continuously claiming that some Iranian leaders in contact with him have a relatively liberal attitude and there is a possibility of some kind of deal between the two countries. But now the language of Tehran has completely changed. Experts believe that there is one name at the center of this change – Mujtaba Khamenei. iran The new supreme leader of.
Iran’s supreme leader Ayatollah Ali Khamenei and his son were killed in the attack on February 28. mujtaba khamenei Was badly injured. Mujtaba Khamenei was elected the new Supreme Leader in critical condition. With the improvement in his health during the last three months, the balance of power within the government also seems to be changing rapidly.
There is talk in political circles in Tehran that Mojtaba Khamenei and the security establishment close to him have begun to push back those faces whom the West, especially the Trump administration, considered relatively pragmatic and pro-negotiations.
Why is Mujtaba angry with the deal process?
According to people associated with the security sector, Mujtaba did not like the meeting between the American and Iranian representatives in Pakistan and the handshake between the two sides. He believes that even the last rites of the Iranian supreme leader have not taken place and these leaders have joined hands with America.
Some within the Iranian leadership considered this to be hasty at a time when there was uncertainty about the status of the new supreme leader. Influential factions of power saw this as a political mistake rather than a positive sign.
Analysts say that leaders like Parliament Speaker Mohammad Bagher Kalibaf and Foreign Minister Abbas Aragchi are no longer considered as influential as before. Both the leaders are being counted among those people who started presenting themselves as new leaders and were ready to compromise with the interests of Iran.
With this message from the Supreme Leader and his team, Kalibaf and Aragchi immediately started trying to distance themselves from America and proved their loyalty to the Supreme Leader. After recent developments, special emphasis on loyalty to the Supreme Leader has also been seen in his public statements.
After all, what does Mujtaba Khamenei want?
There is a growing perception in the corridors of power in Tehran that Mojtaba Khamenei is adopting a more tough stance towards any agreement that appears to weaken Iran’s strategic position. This is why the repeated claims of a possible deal by the Trump administration are now proving to be unsuccessful.
The role of Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps is also considered important in this entire process. Many influential commanders in the security establishment stand with Khamenei and are in favor of a more tough stance towards America and Israel. He believes that any agreement with America should be seen on the basis of balance of power rather than politics of pressure.
As a result, Tehran’s language now appears more aggressive and self-confident than before. Whereas earlier the possibility of negotiations and a possible settlement was discussed, now more emphasis is being placed on national sovereignty, deterrence and strategic patience.
Experts who keep an eye on Iranian politics say that if this trend continues, then the possibility of any major agreement in US-Iran relations in the coming months should be considered eliminated and this is the most dangerous aspect of this dispute which Washington is understanding very well.
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