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Big decision of OPEC+: Crude oil production will increase from August, may affect India’s import bill and inflation.

July 6, 2026 by Uma Shankar

OPEC+, the organization of the world’s major oil producing countries, has decided to increase crude oil production from August 2026 to maintain the stability of the global oil market. Saudi Arabia, Russia, Iraq, Kuwait, Kazakhstan, Algeria and Oman agreed to a total additional production of 1.88 lakh barrels per day (188 thousand barrels per day) for the month of August in a virtual meeting held on July 5.

This decision is part of a phased relaxation in voluntary production cuts announced in April 2023. OPEC+ countries say that this step has been taken with the aim of maintaining a balance between demand and supply in the global oil market and keeping the market stable.

Which countries will increase production by how much

Under this decision, Saudi Arabia and Russia will increase production by maximum 62-62 thousand barrels per day. Whereas Iraq will produce 26 thousand, Kuwait 16 thousand, Kazakhstan 10 thousand, Algeria 6 thousand and Oman 5 thousand additional barrels per day. Saudi Arabia’s production target for August 2026 has been set at 10.4 million barrels per day, while Russia’s target has been set at 98.87 lakh barrels per day.

Why is this decision important for India?

This decision of OPEC+ is being considered very important for India also. India imports more than 85 percent of its crude oil needs and is among the world’s largest oil importers. In such a situation, if there is pressure on crude oil prices due to increase in oil supply in the international market, then India’s import bill may reduce. This can also have a positive impact on inflation. However, at the domestic level, the prices of petrol and diesel are not only determined by the international crude oil price, but taxes, refining costs, transportation expenses and the pricing policy of oil marketing companies also play an important role in it.

OPEC+ has clarified in its statement that the process of increasing production will completely depend on market conditions. If global demand weakens or market volatility increases, the group may decide to stop, slow down or even cut production again.

Countries producing more will also compensate

The seven countries also reiterated that they will fully comply with the production targets set under the Declaration of Cooperation. The countries which have produced more than the prescribed limit after January 2024 will also compensate for it. This process will be monitored by the Joint Ministerial Monitoring Committee (JMMC).

OPEC+ countries have decided to meet every month to review the market situation, production compliance and compensation arrangements. The next meeting of the group will be held on August 2, 2026, in which the further strategy will be decided based on the situation in the global oil market.

Also read: Lebanon’s Christian villages want to join Israel, claims Netanyahu

About Uma Shankar

Uma Shankar writes about finance, business, and investment topics. He simplifies complex subjects like stock market, banking, tax, and cryptocurrency to help readers make informed financial decisions. Data-driven reporting is his strength.

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